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A leading international security strategist offers a compelling new way to "think about the unthinkable."
The cold war ended more than two decades ago, and with its end came a reduction in the threat of nuclear weapons―a luxury that we can no longer indulge. It's not just the threat of Iran getting the bomb or North Korea doing something rash; the whole complexion of global power politics is changing because of the reemergence of nuclear weapons as a vital element of statecraft and power politics. In short, we have entered the second nuclear age.
In this provocative and agenda-setting book, Paul Bracken of Yale University argues that we need to pay renewed attention to nuclear weapons and how their presence will transform the way crises develop and escalate. He draws on his years of experience analyzing defense strategy to make the case that the United States needs to start thinking seriously about these issues once again, especially as new countries acquire nuclear capabilities. He walks us through war-game scenarios that are all too realistic, to show how nuclear weapons are changing the calculus of power politics, and he offers an incisive tour of the Middle East, South Asia, and East Asia to underscore how the United States must not allow itself to be unprepared for managing such crises.
Frank in its tone and farsighted in its analysis, The Second Nuclear Age is the essential guide to the new rules of international politics.
- Sales Rank: #516245 in Books
- Published on: 2013-11-26
- Released on: 2013-11-26
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 8.28" h x .93" w x 5.50" l, .60 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 336 pages
Most helpful customer reviews
17 of 20 people found the following review helpful.
A dangerous new world
By SInohey
Anyone who grew up in the 1950s and 60s remembers the school drill of "duck and cover", when students were expected to crouch underneath their desks as shelter from a nuclear explosion. It was, of course, a totally ineffectual maneuver intended to give the people a (false) sense of security from the impending sneak attack by that archenemy of the West, the communist menace, the USSR. These simple bygone days, when the only two nuclear super powers were locked in a global game of brinksmanship, have now been replaced by a more complex and much more dangerous world. Assured mutual destruction and the fear of a devastating retaliation were last tested almost 50 years ago during the Cuban missile crisis. During the Cold War nuclear arsenals were built up by the USA and the USSR more for mutual deterrence than for actual use. The exclusive nuclear club has now added seven more members, some of whom are presently engaged in regional conflicts and others overtly or covertly support terrorist factions.
Since the end of the Cold War, the nuclear threat no longer looms large in the collective psyche of the West. The threat of mutual destruction has made a nuclear arsenal less effective as a deterrent in the minds of military strategists.
In his book " The Second Nuclear Age", Paul Bracken writes, "An older generation wants to make the nuclear nightmare go away by inoculating the young with protective ideas. Nuclear weapons are useless and we should get rid of them." The new strategy is to "Strengthen the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Get rid of ballistic missiles" and I suppose that we should all hold hands and sing "Kumbaya".
Newcomers to the nuclear club, such as India, Pakistan and China are vying to consolidate their regional power and balance of influence against each other. China is also flexing its might on the world stage. Israel needs its nuclear capability as a bulwark against its perennial enemies sworn to its destruction. North Korea, a belligerent militaristic state with an unstable and unpredictable leadership, cannot be relied upon to heed the threat of a retaliatory destruction as a deterrent. It could behave erratically against its neighbors or by arming terrorist agents with nuclear devices. Iran, is rapidly progressing to becoming a nuclear nation; it unequivocally threatens Israel and openly supports terrorist groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas and Al Quaida, any of whom would not hesitate to detonate a nuclear device against the West.
Bracken spends a good portion of the book discussing India and Pakistan and the new multipolar nuclear world, including the potential for Middle Eastern countries to seek a nuclear arsenal. The author contends that proliferation of nuclear weapons threatens the stability of the order of nations and is contrary to the liberal concept of international law guiding relations between nations. Such an arsenal reinforces a country's sovereignty and guides its political strategy independent of other nations' limiting influence or pressures.
This is a serious, somber book that exposes the contradictions in the post-Cold War strategy of neglecting the nuclear arsenal in the hope for a non-existing nuclear free world. The potential hazard is not from mature nuclear nations, such as France or Great Britain but from the nuclear "nouveaux riches" who shall not be deterred by international law, the United Nations or it's court.
At 306 pages long, the book is somewhat unbalanced, takes several pages to get on track and strains the reader in some parts, but its content is sobering. It leaves the reader with a sense of foreboding and hoping that our leaders are not lulled by fanciful strategies or "sleeping at the wheel" while our enemies arm themselves with weapons of mass destruction.
11 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Must Reading for Every Official Involved in U.S.National Security Policy
By Gary
Paul Bracken brings his extensive experience and research on nuclear weapons issues to a somber preview of the "Second Nuclear Age". American focus on non-proliferation and arms control are worthy efforts, but we need to think and plan more for the inevitable proliferation of nuclear weapons and the challenges of recent nuclear states. Bracken draws upon war games and regional rivalries to show the risks of nuclear crises that no state really desires. Opaque command and control systems, poor crisis management, and the political utility of nuclear weapons are all described in disturbing detail. Bracken cogently describes the need for a new era of U.S. strategic innovation to deal with emerging global threats.
5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Outstanding and ground-breaking new work
By Joshua Philip Manchester
Little has changed in the literature on nuclear strategy and nuclear warfare in the past 20 years. Philip Bobbitt's work "The Shield of Achilles" is one notable exception. But Bracken does an amazing job here describing the multiple reasons why we had all better begin thinking about the unthinkable once again.
More than that though, it occurred to me that the most insightful, creative thinkers about the future may well be nuclear strategists. In other fields, experts can make wild prognostications just to make headlines or a name for themselves. But in nuclear strategy, you had better be damned well sure you understand how the world might evolve because if you get it wrong, billions of people will die and civilization may come to an end.
This book is very crisp, hard-hitting, and fast-paced. Entire academic departments are sometimes eviscerated in three sentences. And the author knows what he is talking about. He's sat through the war games, lived in think tanks, seen the whole Cold War through to its end. We should all take pause that someone with this biography is now sounding the klaxon and asking everyone to wake up and pay attention.
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